2011 Oscar Predictions

With only a matter of hours before the biggest awards ceremony in the film industry takes place, I have just a few predictions to get out of the way to set in stone bragging rights if I am to guess these awards correctly. If I get them wrong, then you can just tell me to shove it. The 83rd Annual Academy Awards can be seen on ABC tonight at 5/4 CST and the ceremony starts 830/730 CST. Without further ado take a gander after the jump to see who I believe will take the Oscar tonight!

Let us start from the smaller awards and work our way down to the big fish shall we:

Best Make Up:
Nominees:
The Wolfman
Barney’s Version
The Way Back

Winner: The Wolfman
I haven’t seen the rest, but for such a horrible movie, the transformation process to create the wolfman was pretty fantastic.

Best Costume Design:
Nominees:
Alice in Wonderland
The King’s Speech
I Am Love
The Tempest
True Grit

Winner: This is a toss up between Alice in Wonderland and The King’s Speech. Very beautiful and bold costumes can always be found in Tim Burton pictures and this category was something Tim Burton got right for Wonderland. The King’s Speech has so much weight behind itself as one of the biggest films of the year so as a period piece The King’s Speech nails it on the head. I have a feeling creativity might overcome this category for an Alice in Wonderland win.

Best Art Direction:
Nominees:
Alice in Wonderland
Inception
The King’s Speech
True Grit
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1

Winner: Another toss up between Inception and Alice in Wonderland. Tim Burton always has that edge on unique dark and colorful sets and environments, but the vision of Christopher Nolan’s science fiction juggernaut, Inception, could definitely be in the running to capture the win. For the sake of not being nominated for best director, I think Nolan’s Inception will take the cake.

Best Short Film (Animated):
Nominees:
Day & Night
The Gruffalo
Let’s Pollute
The Lost Thing
Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)

Winner: Day & Night
I haven’t seen the rest of these, so this is just a huge hunch, but Pixar’s Day & Night was absolutely fun, energetic, colorful, and ingenious.

Best Short Film (Live Action):
Nominees:
The Confession
The Crush
God of Love
Na Wewe
Wish 143

Winner: I don’t have an opinion or guess since I have not seen any of these.

Best Documentary Short:
Nominees:
Killing in the Name
Poster Girl
Strangers No More
Sun Come Up
The Warriors of Qiugang

Winner: I don’t have an opinion or guess since I have not seen any of these.

Best Sound Editing/Mixing/Visual Effects:

Winner: Inception
For the mind bending whirlwind that is Inception, there is no doubt that through all the well crafted editing and design that this movie beholds, this film should sweep these three award categories. For visual effects, Iron Man 2 didn’t really step up from the first; I don’t even know why it was nominated. Alice in Wonderland had a lot of obvious CGI effects and nothing that truly stood out to twist the world of Wonderland. Harry Potter has a pretty good chance as a contender. The HP crew continues to improve after every film with creature building and high flying wizard battles, but Inception should still be able to reign supreme.

Best Foreign Language Film:
Nominees:
Biutiful
Dogtooth
In a Better World
Incendies
Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi)

Winner: I’m not exactly sure for this category as I have only seen Dogtooth, but I could reckon a guess that Incedies or Biutiful could take the win.

Best Film Editing:
Nominees:
Black Swan
127 Hours
The Fighter
Inception
The Social Network

Winner: The Social Network
This film was just fluid in its delivery. David Fincher’s directorial eye to piece together such a well drafted story from Aaron Sorkin, with the help of his editors Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter, just reeks of Oscar gold.

Best Cinematography:
Nominees:
Black Swan
Inception
The King’s Speech
The Social Network
True Grit

Winner: Inception
This was a hard decision as the Coens and Roger Deakins have a brilliant eye to create beauty in the most bleakest of stories. David Fincher and Jeff Cronenweth created wonderful chemistry on screen for the subject matter involved. But Chris Nolan and Wally Pfister will take the gold for some of the most well crafted shots of all the set pieces, visual effects, and all the other incredible scenes involved with this film. If Inception doesn’t win, it will go to True Grit.

Best Music (Original Song):
Nominees:
Country Strong – “Coming Home”Music and Lyrics by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey
Tangled –  “I See the Light”Music by Alan Menken; Lyrics by Glenn Slater
127 Hours – “If I Rise”Music by A.R. Rahman; Lyrics by Dido and Rollo Armstrong
Toy Story 3 – “We Belong Together”Music and Lyric by Randy Newman

Winner: Randy Newman
Just because it is Toy Story 3. But Alan Menken for Tangled does stand a decent chance.

Best Music (Original Score):
Nominees:
How to Train Your Dragon – John Powell
Inception – Hans Zimmer
The King’s Speech – Alexandre Desplat
127 Hours – A.R. Rahman
The Social Network – Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross

Winner: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross
For such unique originality and amazing chemistry with the film, this score produced by Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross is too perfect to be ignored by the academy.

Best Documentary Feature:
Nominees:
Exit through the Gift Shop
Gasland
Inside Job
Restrepo
Waste Land

Winner: Exit Through The Gift Shop
With so much hubbub and buzz around what might happen if Banksy wins this award, there is no doubt that the Academy would like to find out. For the most recognized and honored documentary of the year, I can’t see how this film could lose.

Best Animated Feature:
Nominees:
The Illusionist – Django Films
How To Train Your Dragon – Dreamworks
Toy Story 3 – Pixar

Winner: Toy Story 3
If Toy Story 3 doesn’t win, there will be so much blood and outrage that you would think the apocalypse came early. Toy Story came way before the academy even recognized this category and Toy Story 2 came one year too early. It is about time Pixar earned their rightful recognition for their most well celebrated animated family.

Best Writing (Original Screenplay):
Nominees:
Another Year – Written by Mike Leigh
The Fighter – Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson, Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson
Inception – Written by Christopher Nolan
The Kids Are All Right – Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
The King’s Speech – Screenplay by David Seidler

Winner: The King’s Speech – David Seidler
Although Inception may be one of the most original stories to grace the silver screen in a long while, you have to admit some of the characters were not as well developed as others and maybe a few plot holes could have been filled. The Kids Are All Right was a really great genuine feature that has great writing as well, but The King’s Speech brings true strength to the screen thanks to David Seidler.

Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay):
Nominees:
127 Hours – Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy
The Social Network – Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin
Toy Story 3 – Screenplay by Michael Arndt. Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich
True Grit –  Written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
Winter’s Bone – Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini

Winner: The Social Network
The Social Network by Aaron Sorkin is one of the best written screenplays to come along in a very very long time. Through all the intelligent character dialogue interwoven in this carefully constructed story, Sorkin has the strongest case to dominate this category.

Best Supporting Actress:
Nominees:
Amy Adams – The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter – The King’s Speech
Melissa Leo – The Fighter
Jacki Weaver – Animal Kingdom
Hailee Steinfeld – True Grit

Winner: Melissa Leo
Her amazing chemistry with all of the characters in The Fighter was just impeccable. You cannot ask an actor or actress to bring such a strong presence on screen any more than what Leo brought to The Fighter. Carter was just Carter, Adams didn’t have as strong enough presence to hold her own against big mama Ward and her army of daughters. I didn’t see Animal Kingdom. Steinfeld held herself up pretty well, but her performance became a little one note after awhile. There was just an overwhelming emotion from this motherly figure that completely brought you into this film.

Best Supporting Actor:
Nominees:
Christian Bale – The Fighter
Geoffrey Rush – The King’s Speech
John Hawkes – Winter’s Bone
Mark Ruffalo – The Kids Are All Right
Jeremy Renner – The Town

Winner: Christian Bale
Very few actors these days puts himself into their roles as much as Bale has for the past decade. Bale’s relationship with the cast of characters and on screen presence, like Melissa Leo’s performance, is unmatched. Bale had a pure embodiment of Dicky Ecklund that would make you question whether or not he was the real deal. With Geoffrey Rush, his bromance with Firth was also genuine and strong, but I wanted some more depth and emotion from this character.

Best Actress:
Nominees:
Natalie Portman – Black Swan
Annette Benning – The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman – Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence – Winter’s Bone
Michelle Williams – Blue Valentine

Winner: Natalie Portman
There should really be no doubt about Portman taking the gold. If she loses, she might burst in more ways than one with a baby on board. I’ll admit that all of these leading ladies deserve this recognition, but Portman had such an amazing transformation throughout the film and you could really tell that she put everything into this role.

Best Actor:
Colin Firth – The King’s Speech
Jesse Eisenberg – The Social Network
Javier Bardem – Biutiful
Jeff Bridges – True Grit
James Franco – 127 Hours

Winner: Colin Firth
At first I didn’t think anyone could over take Mr. Eisenberg until I saw The King’s Speech. The lengths Firth had to go through to put himself into George’s shoes and his struggle with stammering had to be tremendous. I really don’t understand why Bridges is in this category, all I saw was Jeff Bridges. Ryan Gosling should have been put in this category for Blue Valentine for such authenticity. The real winner will be Firth when all is said and done for his dazzling performance.

Best Director:
David Fincher – The Social Network
Tom Hooper – The King’s Speech
David O. Russell – The Fighter
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen – True Grit
Darren Aronofsky – Black Swan

Winner: David Fincher
I don’t believe that Tom Hooper’s linear storyline can outmatch Fincher’s radiant storytelling abilities. If anyone has a chance to beat Fincher it should be Aronofsky. Fincher’s calculating and well structured story has to win the Oscar, I will not back down on this decision.

Best Picture:
Nominees:
The Fighter
The King’s Speech
Toy Story 3
The Social Network
Winter’s Bone
Inception
True Grit
The Kids Are All Right
127 Hours
Black Swan

Winner: The Social Network
I have to pick one for this category and my gut is saying upset. Everyone thought Avatar would win last year, but I knew it wouldn’t and that it would go to The Hurt Locker. This is a slightly more different circumstance. Avatar was silly and over hyped, but The Social Network has won a vast array of awards and towers over The King’s Speech. It is definitely a more stronger screenplay and the overall chemistry among the actors and dialogue cannot be rivaled. The score was the best of the year, the editing and filming were better than TKS, and this piece is just a monumental celebration of our time. I’m not saying that TKS doesn’t have a shot or that I would be disappointed to see it win, I just really believe that TSN will win.

And that is that. We will see how accurate I am tonight.

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